Plane flying lightning

The Outlook

Second Quarter 2025 Forecast Update 

By George W. Hammond, Ph.D., Director and Research Professor, EBRC

May 2025


Arizona posted surprisingly slow growth in 2024 and is on course for similar performance in 2025. State job growth was revised….

READ FULL OUTLOOK ANALYSIS

The forecast numbers below are from our second quarter 2025 baseline scenario forecast and were produced in May 2025 by the EBRC.

Arizona Economic Forecast Data (Statewide)

Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale MSA Forecast (Maricopa + Pinal Counties)

Tucson MSA Forecast (Pima County)

 *The Economic and Business Research Center produces new economic forecasts each quarter (February, May, August, November) for Arizona (statewide), the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler MSA, and the Tucson MSA. The EBRC makes the forecasts for the five major measures in the above table public each quarter. However, EBRC forecasts many more important economic variables using unique structural econometric models. If your business or organization requires more in-depth forecast data, analysis, and consulting, find out about the benefits of joining EBRC’s Forecasting Project.


Copyright 2025 Economic and Business Research Center, The University of Arizona, all rights reserved.