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The Outlook

First Quarter 2024 Forecast Update

By George W. Hammond, Ph.D., Director and Research Professor, EBRC

March 2024


The Arizona economy continues to churn out solid gains. Population growth slowed modestly in 2023, according to estimates from the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity. U.S. Census Bureau estimates show a more significant…

READ FULL OUTLOOK ANALYSIS

The forecast numbers below are from our first quarter 2024 baseline scenario forecast and were produced in February 2024 by the EBRC.

Arizona Economic Forecast Data (Statewide)

Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale MSA Forecast (Maricopa + Pinal Counties)

Tucson MSA Forecast (Pima County)

 *The Economic and Business Research Center produces new economic forecasts each quarter (February, May, August, November) for Arizona (statewide), the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler MSA, and the Tucson MSA. The EBRC makes the forecasts for the five major measures in the above table public each quarter. However, EBRC forecasts many more important economic variables using unique structural econometric models. If your business or organization requires more in-depth forecast data, analysis, and consulting, find out about the benefits of joining EBRC’s Forecasting Project.

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